03. October 2005 · Comments Off on Women Drivers: Hughes Kinda’-Sorta’ Faux Pas · Categories: Politics, World

This from T. A. Frank at TNR:

Condoleezza Rice may, of course, have good reasons not to broach the topic with the Saudis. Men are in charge of Saudi Arabia, and the men can help us, so angering them might be unwise. And perhaps it was impolite of Hughes to bring up the subject. But since when do progressives favor politesse in the face of discrimination? And why, exactly, should liberals like “West Wing” writer Aaron Sorkin be more deferential about the Saudi driving ban than Karen Hughes?

Isolationist conservatives generally take the position that it’s not the proper role of American politicians to comment on another society’s treatment of women. But liberals don’t have that excuse. Instead, their dilemma is by now an old story: For the contemporary left, when any value–in this case, equal rights for women–comes up against the value of not judging other cultures, non-judgment tends to win. The left prizes tolerance so highly that it often refuses to condemn intolerance. (Europe, with a large population of immigrants who oppose the values of the society in which they live, has grappled with this problem for years.)

It’s about time we come to fit with our suit as omnipower, and the global hegemony which it entails. As Americans, we are naturally uncomfortable in wearing it; but it has been forced upon us by the tides of history. But to shun it is to leave its shards to be picked-up by (as Virginia Postrel would put it) the “enemies of the future.” On foreign policy, libertarian first principles are only clear-cut on matters of initiation of force (Even so, the matter of Iraq sheared the libertarian ranks.); restrictions of trade are a more nebulous matter.

Still, as a practical matter, we have to realize that they need us far more than we need them. If you doubt this, just look at prospects for Sunco Oil.

03. October 2005 · Comments Off on Pundits On Miers: The Blind Leading The Blind · Categories: Politics

I’ve spent a bit of time this morning reading a few of the comments on Harriet Miers’ SCOTUS nomination. And, as usual, while everyone lacks any real information on her, it seems everyone has an opinion. The common thread seems to be familiarity, or cronyism – the choice of word dependant upon the individual commenter’s predisposition concerning the President. The most measured and insightful comment I’ve seen thusfar is in this post from Eugene Volokh, where he compares Miers to Justices who have preceded her:

My point is simply that when one is looking at Miers’ career and credentials, it may be helpful to avoid comparing her to the current crop of Justices — the natural tendency whenever one is considering a new nominee — but rather to nominees who come from a different, but just as historically well established, mold.

Read the whole thing,

02. October 2005 · Comments Off on Serenity Returns A Bit Disappointing · Categories: That's Entertainment!

This from Mark Germain at AP:

LOS ANGELES – Jodie Foster’s “Flightplan” stayed aloft at the box office, her airplane thriller taking in $15 million to remain the No. 1 movie over a rush of new wide releases.

The science-fiction tale “Serenity,” a continuation of writer-director Joss Whedon’s cult TV series “Firefly,” debuted in second place with $10.1 million, according to studio estimates Sunday.

The overall box office, which had surged since Labor Day, fell back into a slump that has persisted most of the year. The top 12 movies grossed $75.3 million, down 26 percent from the same weekend in 2004, when “Shark Tale” opened with $47.6 million.

01. October 2005 · Comments Off on David Edelstein On Serenity · Categories: That's Entertainment!

like Star Trek and its spinoffs if the characters had been on coffee and cigarettes (and bourbon) instead of Valium

Oh, you mean like, uh, maybe, Babylon 5?

Seriously, in all the gushing over Serenity, I am amazed at how little mention is given to Straczynski’s masterwork.

01. October 2005 · Comments Off on Over There Borrows From An Old M*A*S*H Script – Except · Categories: That's Entertainment!

In tonight’s episode, the new unit commander is insisting that the medic ignore triage, and treat “his people” first (sound familiar?). But wait! Now there is an Iraqi civilian who has taken a hostage, and refuses to release him, until his son is treated. The lieutenant issues a counter-threat to both him and his family. The interpreter refuses to relay this (I agree – remember Nuremberg).

All quite interesting.

Update: I’m going to wait for the word from some active duty people, but it seems to me as though MANY things went REALLY wrong here. But, as we know from Katrina, shit happens.

Still, a very powerful episode.

01. October 2005 · Comments Off on Serenity Benchmarks · Categories: That's Entertainment!

I’m still waiting anxiously for the overnight box office numbers (currently watching Cal skunk Arizona). At the same time, I recognize that they are likely to be inflated by the flood of Browncoaters, who have been waiting, breathlessly, for this for three years.

Movie pundits (who have largely called this a “niche” film), are predicting $14-16 million for the weekend (still the top-pick, but against some sorry competition). I’m setting my sights somewhat higher. I think, beyond the Browncoaters, and the watercooler SciFi fans, there will be a huge turnout of Buffy/Angel fans, who know little-or-nothing of Firefly, but just want to see Whedon’s feature film directorial debut (Not the least of which is ’cause, word is, River does Buffy better ‘n Buffy – ta ma duh.).

But the benchmarks on the web, which seems to have been instigated by David Mumpower at Box Office Prophets, is $30 million and $84 million – the first weekend gross, and domestic run gross for X-Files: Fear the FutureX-Files being the series Firefly was supposed to have replaced at Fox.

I’m a bit skeptical about the 30mil weekend number, but not so much about the 84mil total. Because, while Firefly (like X-Files) has a VERY dedicated core fanbase, Whedon’s Buffy/Angel/Firefly are popular, but Carter’s X-Files was a phenomenon, sort of like the Reagan Democrats 🙂 . On the first weekend (and somewhat beyond that for a Star Wars, Lord of the Rings, or Harry Potter movie), you are going on your hype. Past that, you are going on your chops. And while, by all reviews I’ve read, save for one idiot from South Korea, Serenity certainly has the chops. I can’t say the same for the X-Files movie.

There’s one other thing to consider: Think “Blair Witch Project” – the X-Files movie was a $66 million production – Serenity $40 million. Now, any domestic box office better than break-even has Hollywood happy (You make you real money on the back-end – think Cleopatra or The Wizard of Oz.). But 27% (84/66) still doesn’t have them dancing Forty Deuce. Better than double-your-money does.

01. October 2005 · Comments Off on Shattering Cultural Myths · Categories: General

This from the California Literary Review, on the new book by Professor Stephanie Coontz: Marriage, A History: From Obedience to Intimacy, or How Love Conquered Marriage:

Quaint as the romp through centuries past and other cultures may be, and useful in illustrating the marvelous elasticity of marriages through time, it is the upheavals of the developed West in the twentieth century that inevitably interest us the most, and Coontz devotes the final third of the book to them.

First, she makes it clear that marriage was “in trouble” (at least according to most of the measures favored by social conservatives) before the advent of the Pill, no-fault divorce, women’s lib, and legalized abortion. Premarital sex had been steadily on the rise from the 1880s to the 1940s. U.S. divorce rates started to rise in 1957, a bit before the storm broke, and one in three couples married in the 1950s eventually divorced. The divorce rate in no-fault states was not terribly different from that in states that did not have no-fault divorce (and divorce rates have been on the decline since 1981, four years before the last states in the U.S. passed no-fault laws).

Coontz describes several American “sexual revolutions” that preceded the one we know from the 1960s. One that occurred in the 1920s meant that 1/3 to 1/2 of American women had had sex before marriage; in 1928 child psychologist John Watson wrote that in another fifty years there would be “no such thing as marriage.”

In a pivotal passage, Coontz writes: “This unprecedented marriage system was the climax of almost two hundred years of continuous tinkering with the male protector love-based marital model invented in the late eighteenth century. That process culminated in the 1950s as the short-lived pattern that people have since come to think of as traditional marriage. So in the 1970s, when the inherent instability of the love-based marriage reasserted itself, millions of people were taken completely by surprise. Having lost any collective memory of the convulsions that occurred when the love match was first introduced and the crisis that followed its modernization in the 1920s, they could not understand why this kind of marriage, which they thought had prevailed for thousands of years, was being abandoned by the younger generation.”

In centuries past, then, property and politics were greater considerations in marriage than personal satisfaction; as Coontz puts it, “love in marriage was seen as a bonus [and often one that turned up long after the nuptials rather than before], not as a necessity.” The expectations we place on marriage today—deeply loving, partner is top priority, couples should be best friends, openly affectionate, talk honestly about problems, sexual fidelity required—is, in her historical survey, “extremely rare.”

Perhaps the most surprising myths are the ones we cherish about ourselves even today. In her final chapter, “Uncharted Territory,” Coontz notes that:

  • Highly-educated Americans are more likely to think remaining single or having a child out of wedlock is acceptable, but are also more likely to marry and less likely to have children as singles
  • Conversely, Americans with lower incomes and less education are more likely to view marriage as the preferred state, but less likely to marry
  • Afro-Americans are less likely to approve of unmarried cohabitation than whites, but more likely to do it
  • Born-again Christians are just as likely to see their marriages end in divorce as non born-agains, and both enjoy a divorce rate only 2 percent lower than that of atheists and agnostics

Thus, in the Bible-Belt, low-income South, rates of divorce and out-of-wedlock births are higher than anywhere else (and more likely to be regarded with disapproval). Women who hold more traditional views are less likely to divorce, but also less likely to marry (and traditionally-minded men are more likely to do both).

In reading the facts and the patterns they appear to weave, Coontz is no more sentimental about feminist myths than old-fashioned ones. “I do not believe,” she writes, “that marriage was invented to oppress women any more than it was invented to protect them.”

She is very clear that adjustments in marital practice have inevitably involved tradeoffs; something valuable is almost always lost every time something is gained. “Marriage has become more joyful, more loving, and more satisfying for many couples than ever before in history. At the same time it has become optional and more brittle. These two strands of change cannot be disentangled.”

She is also certain that “contrary to what many marriage promotion activists believe, these dilemmas cannot be sidestepped by making divorce less accessible.” The “tragedy” of no-fault divorce has coincided with a 20 percent drop in married women’s suicides, a general decrease in marital violence, and—between 1981 and 1998—a 2/3 cut in the rate of women who kill their husbands. Would social conservatives accept the return of this bath water with the discarded baby of traditional marriage?

Changes in marital dynamics probably still depend much more upon economic trends and policies than any of us realize. Coontz addresses this to some extent—as she notes, marriage can simply be a bad economic choice for a lower- or working-class setting, where those who marry and divorce suffer higher rates of poverty than those who never marry—but we could use a stricter and more global analysis of this aspect from a theorist with the proper background. Coontz quotes sociologist Frank Furstenberg, who suggests marriage has become almost a “luxury consumer item,” though she modifies this to a “discretionary item that must be weighed against other options for self-protection or economic mobility.”

One might add that while more traditional forms of marriage might have been better for the stability of a society as a whole, the “love match” (whether it works or fails, and includes wedlock or not) is more fruitful for retail sales rates (from the bridal loot and housing rentals and mortgages to the post-breakup chocolate, alcohol, toys, and therapy—not to mention the boom in single-person households and all the accoutrements thereof), and therefore corporate America really couldn’t give a rip that older forms of marriage are endangered species. If business didn’t necessarily encourage the death of traditional marriage, it certainly has done little to prevent it.

Stressed-out couples and parents rush to blame their partner’s selfishness, women’s lib, “essential” gender differences, and other ready demons, but as Coontz observes, “If they had thought about the broader picture, these men and women would probably have agreed that the real problem was the lack of work policies amenable to family life. But in practice their daily tensions turned them on each other rather than on their employers.” Funny how those in power, whether unintentionally or not, so often enjoy the convenience of having their underlings go for one another’s throats instead of challenging the system as a whole. (Think of the squabbling and shifting alliances between the multiple wives of a mostly faceless master in Zhang Yimou’s “Raise the Red Lantern”: they could be non-union workers in a Western shop today just as easily as a passel of Chinese spouses at the turn of the last century.) And too many Americans hardly seem to care that recent administrations—Democratic as well as Republican—have paid much “mouth-breath” to the family, but favored business to the family’s detriment.

01. October 2005 · Comments Off on We Need This Here · Categories: Technology

An inexpensive, super-rugged laptop for elementary schoolers:


$100 Laptop

And why not offer this machine in the United States? We are a wealthy nation, but I believe there would be a market for super-cheap, rugged, rechargeble-by-hand laptops right here.

If offered for $200 or less, I would buy two of these machines immediately – one for my 3rd grader, another for my 1st grader. No way am I giving these rowdy guys fragile $1000 laptops. But these would be perfect for them.

Hat Tip: InstaPundit

01. October 2005 · Comments Off on Military Demographics – Rangel’s Lie · Categories: Military, Politics

Implicitly, I’m sure most of us knew the claims of (mostly Democratic) pols, principally New York’s Charlie Rangel, that our military draws an inordinately large portion of its ranks from those of limited economic opportunity, was pure bullshit. Now Mark Tapscott gives us the hard facts:

Military Demographics

30. September 2005 · Comments Off on Movie Trivia For 10/01/05 · Categories: That's Entertainment!

D. W. Griffith’s classic The Birth of a Nation (1915) is popularly considered the first epic American film. But it was preceded by this.

Update: Congratz to reader tyree, who not only got it, but got one over on me (see comments).

30. September 2005 · Comments Off on Six-Figure Blogging · Categories: General

Interesting stuff (especially if you like shoes) over at Problogger.

29. September 2005 · Comments Off on Serenity Contest · Categories: That's Entertainment!

Box Office Prophets is giving away a free Serenity hat and t-shirt.

29. September 2005 · Comments Off on Serenity Reviews · Categories: That's Entertainment!

Over at Blogcritics, Matt Moore has this review of Serenity:

What really stood out was the writing, of course. The characters are mostly drawn from action film archetypes (there’s the amoral tough guy, the spunky woman [well, several spunky women], the conflicted leader) and they could have been cardboard flat. Instead they were all very human, reacting to situations and each other unpredictably, but always in ways that make sense. There were also lots of classic Whedon bits: extremely funny lines in the middle of intense action, emotionally crushing blows, and lifting moments of victory. Sometimes all three in the same shot.

Afterwards Zombyboy (he’s got a review with links to other reviews posted here) mentioned that he saw a strong anarcho-libertarian thread running through the picture. He’s absolutely right. Mal, the captain of the Serenity, fought on the losing side of a rebellion against the autocratic Alliance. Now he thinks only of himself. Well, only of himself and his crew. Well, only of himself and his crew until the good of the entire universe gets in the way.

Update: Danial Drezner does a great review. But my favorite part was this quote from Jacob Levy:

This is not a genre-buster like Matrix or even a genre-redefiner like Blade Runner. It’s more of an ante-raiser like Alien: “See? This thing that we’ve gotten used to seeing done badly can be done really, really well.” For Alien, it was making a monster movie genuinely suspenseful, scary, and visually compelling. For Serenity, it’s making space opera morally serious and centered on complete characters with convincing relationships and first-rate dialogue. I predict that it will make watching Star Wars or Star Trek movies harder to do without cringing.

Most of the Star Wars saga already makes me cringe.

Update 2: Movies Online: two 10s and a 9

29. September 2005 · Comments Off on Reporter Links Saddam to 9/11 – via OKC · Categories: GWOT, Iraq

Mark Tapscott blogs an extended summary by Oklahoma City reporter Jayne Davis, of her book, The Third Terrorist: The Middle East Connection to the Oklahoma City Bombing:

“I later learned that during this same time frame, Al-Hussaini was residing with two former Iraqi Gulf War veterans who provided food-catering services to the commercial airlines at the Boston airport. In the wake of the suicide hijackings of 2001, law enforcement speculated that food services workers might have planted box cutters aboard the doomed flights.

“Hussain Al-Hussaini’s uncanny foreknowledge of a possible dire event slated to take place at Boston Logan Airport, the point of origin for Al-Qaeda’s murderous rampage of 2001, just grazes the surface of the disturbing nexus I have uncovered between 4-19 and 9-11. Was the Oklahoma bombing the silver bullet that could have prevented Black Tuesday?

[…]

“The Oklahoma City bombing, if orchestrated by an Iraqi/Al-Qaeda hit squad, certainly provides a salient rationale for war. How many more Americans would have been marked for death had the United States military not invaded Iraq to oust Saddam Hussein, a bloodthirsty broker of terror?

“The fallen heroes of Operation Iraqi Freedom did not die in vain to end the proliferation of phantom weapons of mass destruction, but died to prevent another horrifying replay of April 19 and September 11.”

Read the whole thing.

Hat Tip: Our own APV

28. September 2005 · Comments Off on Favorite Nip/Tuck lines, Inst. I · Categories: That's Entertainment!

“Three-ways are the new black.” Somehow, that line resonates with me. 🙂

28. September 2005 · Comments Off on Louisiana’s Pork-Grab · Categories: Politics

The details of this story are just coming to light. But I think when it finally does, the rest of the country may just rise in outrage, and tell their representitives to flip Louisiana’s one huge finger. Will it cause those citizens to shine the same light on themselves? I’m skeptical.

Update: Here are some links, for those of you who wish to look into this more deeply. But be forwarned, the legislation is about 500 pages long:

September 22, 2005

Press Release

WASHINGTON — U.S. Senators Mary L. Landrieu, D-La., and David Vitter, R-La., today introduced the Hurricane Katrina Disaster Relief and Economic Recovery Act, a comprehensive piece of legislation to provide long-term relief and much-needed assistance to the people of Louisiana and the Gulf Coast as they work to recover and rebuild the region.

http://landrieu.senate.gov/%7elandrieu/releases/05/2005922648.html

Text of Legislation

Section by Section Summary

28. September 2005 · Comments Off on Serenity Prescreenings · Categories: That's Entertainment!

For bloggers only.

Hat Tip: InstaPundit

Update: Glenn says they are tapped-out. I don’t know if he’s talking about everywhere, or just Knoxville, so I sent a request anyway.

28. September 2005 · Comments Off on DeLay Indicted! · Categories: Politics

This from Larry Margasak at AP:

DeLay attorney Steve Brittain said DeLay was accused of a criminal conspiracy along with two associates, John Colyandro, former executive director of a Texas political action committee formed by DeLay, and Jim Ellis, who heads DeLay’s national political committee.

“I have notified the speaker that I will temporarily step aside from my position as majority leader pursuant to rules of the House Republican Conference and the actions of the Travis County district attorney today,” DeLay said.

This should result in a considerable loss of political capital for the GOP.

27. September 2005 · Comments Off on Firefly Marathon · Categories: That's Entertainment!

Going on right now at the SciFi Channel.

26. September 2005 · Comments Off on Movie Trivia For 9/24/05 · Categories: General

As it seems we don’t get much traffic here over the weekends, I have to beg you not to Google this – at least until Tuesday – to give our readers who might know this off the tops of their heads a fair chance:

This renowned actress got her film debut, quite inauspiciously, in Dutch in Seven Lessons.

Update: As this seems to have fallen off the front page, I just fiddled with th time tag, to bring it to the fore.

Update 2: The Answer! Audrey Hepburn. It’s a popular misconception, especially in the United States, that she made he film debut in Roman Holiday . But she had a developing career in Europe (where her most memorable picture was, arguably, The Lavender Hill Mob, staring Alec Guinness) before being “discovered” by Colette and whisked off to Broadway to do the title role in the stage version of Gigi.

Thanks to the readers who looked-up the answer, but remained mum.

26. September 2005 · Comments Off on BSG notes. Inst I · Categories: That's Entertainment!

I find it quite interesting how, in last Friday’s BSG discourse, no-one bothered to draw parallels between the current episode, and The Living Legend, from the earlier series.

26. September 2005 · Comments Off on Oh, This Is Interesting · Categories: That's Entertainment!

In an effort to bring my last Movie Trivia puzzle back to the front page, I edited the time stamp to something actually ahead of current time. And it disappeared.

I don’t think it’s gone. It will likely come back, once real time surpasses the time stamp.

Anyway, I still remember the puzzle. And there was only one post (from. I believe, James Agenbroad), with some teasing clues. BTW: I didn’t get the one about the Jeep.

26. September 2005 · Comments Off on Notes On Rome Inst. I · Categories: That's Entertainment!

Has anyone else noticed how much Kevin McKidd (Vorenus) looks like Steve McQueen?

26. September 2005 · Comments Off on Don Adams Is Dead · Categories: That's Entertainment!

And many blogger-pundits are making a big stink of it. Well, with all due respect to the late Mr. Adams, he was of little real consequence, with but one trademark character.

I find it interesting to contrast this to te recent passing of Bob Denver, who is not being given proper attribution for his most influential character.

26. September 2005 · Comments Off on Jeter Faces Bizarro-World Racism · Categories: Ain't That America?

It seems NY Yankees future hall-of-famer Derek Jeter is getting hate-mail for dating “outside his race.” But wait a minute here – Jeter is mixed-race – half “white”, half “black”. How absurd.

25. September 2005 · Comments Off on Oh-No! Another Cute, Missing Coed. · Categories: Media Matters Not

Developing…

I don’t need to know any more – only that, once this breaks, nothing else will matter to the MSM for at least the next couple of weeks.

Ok, so not a coed, but attractive and pregnant too. This seems like just the sort of thing they consider manna from heaven.

25. September 2005 · Comments Off on The Word From On High · Categories: Science!, Technology

None other than Arthur C. Clarke himself chimes in on NASA’s further plans for space:

In 1969, the giant multistage rocket, discarded piecemeal after a single mission, was the only way of doing the job. That the job should be done was a political decision, made by a handful of men. (I have only recently learnt that Wernher von Braun used my The Exploration of Space (1952) to convince President Kennedy that it was possible to go to the Moon.) As William Sims Bainbridge pointed out, space travel is a technological mutation that should not really have arrived until the 21st century. But thanks to the ambition and genius of von Braun and Sergei Korolev, and their influence upon individuals as disparate as Kennedy and Khrushchev, the Moon — like the South Pole — was reached half a century ahead of time.

If Nasa resumes lunar missions by 2018, that timing would be just about right: it will be only a year short of the 50th anniversary of Neil Armstrong’s famous “one small step”. But banking on solid rocket boosters to escape from Earth, as being planned, will not represent a big technological advance over the Apollo missions. Even if the spacecraft are reusable, it will still cost hundreds of thousands of dollars to launch every kilogram into space. I think the rocket has as much future in space as dog sleds in serious Antarctic exploration. Of course, it is the only thing we have at the moment, so we must make the best use of it.

But I would urge Nasa to keep investing at least a small proportion of its substantial budget in supporting the research and development of alternatives to rockets. There is at least one idea that may ultimately make space transport cheap and affordable to ordinary people: the space elevator.

First conceived by a Russian engineer, Yuri Artsutanov, in 1960, it was reinvented by a group of American scientists a decade later. And it’s based on a simple — yet daring — concept.

Today’s communications satellites demonstrate how an object can remain poised over a fixed spot on the Equator by matching its speed to the turning Earth, 22,300 miles (35,780 km) below. Now imagine a cable linking the satellite to the ground. Payloads could be hoisted up it by purely mechanical means, reaching orbit without any use of rocket power. The cost of launching payloads into orbit could be reduced to a tiny fraction of today’s costs.

I differ with the great author on two points: First, it was by no great vision or effort of von Braun or Korolev that we reached the Moon in 1969, rather than 2019, but the quest for military superiority. Not to deny their genius. But, had they never even existed, the achievement – or something of similar technological magnitude – would have occurred no more than a decade, rather than a half-century, later.

Second, orbit in the Clarke Belt is achieved because the centrifugal force of the orbiting satellite exactly matches the force imparted upon it by gravity. Propelling a payload up a tether attached to that satellite would upset that equilibrium. Further, their is the distributed mass of the tether itself to consider. It is therefore necessary that the satellite be in a far lower orbit, in order to maintain tension on the tether. Indeed, the path the transport vehicle takes to reach the satellite will not be a straight path, as is popularly envisioned, but a great parabolic arc.

Read the whole thing.

Hat Tip: InstaPundit

Update: A bit red-faced after that sign-inversion. But those sort of things happen when you’re bouncing these things around in your head.

In any event, I never said the space elevator wouldn’t work, only that it wouldn’t be quite as currently envisioned. I still feel that the cable will arc into space, And it appears this effect has already been contemplated for the mass of the transport vehicle (“climber”, if you will), but not for the distributed mass of the cable itself.

Update: There is a spirited debate (of which I am pretty much on the defensive) on this subject, over at Transterrestrial Musings.